Most in ASEAN Prefer China to the US, Citing Trump as Their Biggest Concern

Recent data from a comprehensive regional survey highlights a significant tilt in public opinion across ASEAN countries, with a majority expressing a clear preference for China over the United States. The findings reveal that China’s growing economic influence, cultural ties, and regional engagement have resonated strongly with ASEAN citizens, overshadowing U.S. diplomatic efforts in the area. Many respondents cited China’s Belt and Road Initiative and its role in infrastructure development as key factors contributing to its favorable image.

The survey also pinpointed former U.S. President Donald Trump as a major point of concern among ASEAN populations. His administration’s unpredictable foreign policy approach and rhetoric were seen as detrimental to America’s standing in the region. Key concerns expressed included:

• Trade tensions initiated under Trump’s leadership
• Perceived neglect of Southeast Asia in broader geopolitical strategies
• Uncertainty in diplomatic consistency and engagement

These factors combined have contributed to a notable shift in regional sentiment, favoring China’s steady and economically driven presence over the fluctuating U.S. policies seen in recent years.

Amid shifting geopolitical tides in Southeast Asia, recent survey results highlight widespread apprehension toward the policies implemented during the Trump administration. Respondents across ASEAN countries pinpointed these policies as a key factor fueling uncertainty in regional dynamics. Trade restrictions, diplomatic unpredictability, and a perceived retreat from multilateral commitments under Trump’s tenure have prompted concerns about the stability of US engagement in the region. This sentiment contrasts sharply with views on China, which many ASEAN participants see as adopting a more consistent and proactive approach to regional cooperation and economic integration.

The survey reveals that while the US traditionally held sway as a strategic partner for many Southeast Asian nations, the unpredictable nature of Trump’s policy decisions has eroded confidence. Specific grievances cited include the administration’s stance on the South China Sea disputes and its transactional approach to alliances. The findings suggest an emerging preference among ASEAN respondents for reliable partnerships that promise sustained economic growth and security collaboration, positioning China as a more favorable alternative in the eyes of many regional stakeholders.

• Trade tensions linked to Trump-era tariffs and sanctions
• Uncertainty over US commitment to ASEAN multilateral frameworks
• Negative impact on diplomatic relations due to abrupt policy shifts

Experts emphasize that the United States must urgently recalibrate its foreign policy to regain traction in Southeast Asia, where recent surveys reveal a clear tilt in favor of China among ASEAN nations. The underlying mistrust stems largely from inconsistent U.S. strategies and unpredictable diplomatic conduct in the region. Analysts point out that America’s reluctance to engage multilaterally and its overemphasis on security concerns have alienated pivotal Southeast Asian partners, creating space for China’s steady economic investments and regional connectivity initiatives to flourish.

Key recommendations from foreign policy experts include:

• Strengthening economic ties by supporting ASEAN-led frameworks and regional infrastructure projects.
• Enhancing diplomatic consistency to assure Southeast Asian governments of long-term U.S. commitment.
• Prioritizing multilateral cooperation that respects ASEAN’s centrality and sovereignty concerns.
• Addressing legacy concerns, particularly the impact of the Trump administration’s policies, which many view as a destabilizing factor in U.S.-ASEAN relations.

By adopting a more nuanced and sustained engagement strategy, the United States can begin to close the widening influence gap and position itself as a reliable partner amid China’s growing prominence in the region.